Sunday, September 20 2026

One-Month Observation of Pandemic Restrictions Easing: Coffee and Milk Tea Shops See Long Queues Again, Catering Consumption Shows Clear Recovery Momentum

During the first New Year's mini-holiday after the adjustment of pandemic control policies, people who had recovered from COVID-19 began traveling in large numbers, rapidly heating up the food and beverage consumption market. Long queues reappeared outside milk tea and coffee shops, with some stores seeing orders surge, and even scenes of ordering systems showing queues of over a hundred cups. From Auntea Jenny to Naixue Tea, sales data from multiple brands rebounded significantly, and foot traffic in many commercial districts recovered to 60 to 80 percent of the same period in previous years. Although the pace of recovery remains uneven, the city's lively atmosphere is gradually returning, and the industry is full of expectations for a comprehensive rebound in spring. [more…]

Indonesian Coffee Production Expected to Rebound 12.3%, Industry Recovery Still Faces Dual Challenges of Weather and Fertilizer

A recent coffee industry report released by Indonesia shows that after multiple natural disasters including El Niño-induced drought, floods, landslides, and volcanic eruptions, the country's coffee production fell to 9.7 million bags in the 2023/24 season. However, after entering the harvest season, actual data came in better than expected, and production is expected to rebound to 10.9 million bags in the 2024/25 season, an increase of 12.3%. Of this, Robusta production stands at 9.5 million bags and Arabica at 1.4 million bags. Although export volume is projected to rise from 4.3 million bags to 6 million bags, issues such as the La Niña phenomenon, rising fertilizer prices, and farmers' insufficient technical skills still bring uncertainty to the industry's recovery. [more…]

Yunnan coffee bean purchase prices climb to 35 yuan per kilogram, ushering in a critical window for industry recovery

In the past two to three years, affected by the pandemic, the logistics and inventory of imported coffee beans encountered obstacles, while the price of Yunnan's local coffee beans gained upward support as a result, injecting a rare boon into local coffee enterprises. Looking back ten years, Yunnan coffee bean prices were depressed for a long time, and growers' confidence was shaken. Today, the purchase price of 35 yuan/kg has broken through historical levels. Hu Lu, deputy secretary-general of the Yunnan Coffee Industry Association, pointed out that this price is undoubtedly a shot in the arm for the Yunnan coffee industry, which is in a winter period. If this price level can be stably maintained for three to five years, the whole province is expected to set off a new round of planting enthusiasm. At the same time, the market expects this round of increases to continue until June or July, when Brazil and Colombia enter their harvest seasons, and changes in output may trigger a new round of fluctuations. Front Street Coffee reminds enthusiasts to pay attention to developments in producing areas and to grasp the dual changes in flavor and price. [more…]

From Granary to Crisis to Recovery: The Tortuous Development of the Coffee Industry in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

The Democratic Republic of the Congo was once hailed as Africa's breadbasket, endowed with vast tracts of arable land, and coffee once held an important place in the country's economy. However, the shadow of colonial rule and successive waves of political turmoil severely constrained the development of the coffee industry. From coffee leaf rust propelling it to become a cash crop, to the sharp decline in production after the civil war, farmers risking cross-border bean sales, and now the gradual rebuilding in peacetime, the DRC's coffee industry has traversed an extraordinarily rugged path. This article will take you through this little-known history, as well as the opportunities and challenges currently facing the country's coffee industry. [more…]

Vitasoy's half-year net profit plunges 95%, recovery in the mainland market expected to take three years after boycott wave

Vitasoy International Holdings' interim results for the 2021/2022 fiscal year show that revenue fell 18.28% year-on-year, while net profit plunged 95%, marking the largest decline in recent years. The core trigger of this storm was the public backlash caused by the July 2021 incident in which an employee attacked police and then hanged himself, leading to large-scale product removals and celebrity contract terminations in the mainland market—a key region accounting for 60% of the company's total revenue. The incident occurred during the summer sales peak, obstructing new product promotion, while competitors seized the opportunity to accelerate penetration. Industry analysts pointed out that in addition to the public relations crisis, Vitasoy's structural weaknesses in the mainland market—over-reliance on the Pearl River Delta and insufficient penetration in the north—were equally fatal. Rising raw material costs and slow packaging updates further dragged down recovery, and it is expected to take at least three years to restore profitability. This article will sort out the sequence of events, market reactions, and future challenges, providing in-depth reference for observers in the coffee and beverage industry. [more…]

Shanghai's first day of full recovery: coffee shops reopen, scenes of people lining up to buy coffee return to the streets

On June 1, Shanghai reached an important milestone in fully restoring normal production and daily life. After more than two months of home quarantine, coffee lovers finally smelled the aroma of coffee wafting through the streets and alleys once again. From chain brands to independent shops, coffee stores reopened one after another, with takeout and self-pickup orders surging—some shop owners even sold over a hundred cups of coffee to passersby while the shutter was only half open as they were adjusting equipment. This article documents the real scenes of the coffee industry's recovery before and after Shanghai's lockdown was lifted, and citizens' eager anticipation for a freshly ground cup of coffee. [more…]

Colombian coffee exports to China gain strong momentum amid production recovery and extreme weather challenges

In recent years, Colombian coffee has performed increasingly well in the Chinese market. According to the country's media, China is expected to become Colombia's sixth-largest coffee export destination by the end of the year, and may even rise to second place in the future. In 2019, China ranked only 18th, but by 2023 it had jumped to sixth, with exports reaching 540,000 bags. At the same time, Colombia's coffee industry is gradually recovering from consecutive production declines, with output in the 2023/24 season expected to grow by 15%, though challenges such as drought, wildfires, and armed conflict remain. This article will review the latest export data, market prospects, and industry conditions, and include relevant recommendations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]

When the Coffee Startup Dream Fades: The Industry Truth and Survival Rules Behind the Surge in Second-Hand Equipment Recovery

Once upon a time, opening a coffee shop was seen by countless people as the ideal path to escape the 996 work grind and embrace poetry and distant lands. Reality, however, is like an unsweetened espresso—bitter enough to catch you off guard. In recent months, warehouses of second-hand coffee equipment recyclers have been bursting at the seams, and self-deprecating posts about "money-losing cafés" have proliferated on social media. From the vengeful wave of shop openings at the start of the year to the current wave of closures, the coffee industry is undergoing a brutal shakeout. Some are cutting their losses helplessly, others are struggling to hang on, and surprisingly, many entrepreneurs' first pot of gold has come from selling off the coffee machines they once bought at great expense. This article takes you deep into this phenomenon, dissecting the business logic and survival challenges behind coffee entrepreneurship—if you're also preparing to open a shop, perhaps you should first read these real stories. [more…]

Indonesian Coffee Production Expected to Rebound to 2.4 Million Bags: Analysis of Export and Domestic Demand Trends

The latest report from the United States Department of Agriculture shows that Indonesia's total coffee production for 2024/25 is expected to increase by about 2.4 million bags (60 kg/bag) compared with the previous year, but the overall recovery remains below expectations, with production revised down by 8% year on year. Affected by strong domestic demand, the volume available for export is expected to fall by 12% to 5.2 million bags, though this is still 18% higher than exports in 2023/24. Recovery has been slow in the Robusta-producing areas of southern Sumatra, while the Arabica-producing areas of northern Lintong have suffered heavy rainfall and secondary disasters. Domestic purchasing power is weak, and consumption growth is less than 1%. The European Union had increased purchasing because of the EUDR regulations, but later postponed implementation for one year. Production in Vietnam and Brazil is unstable, and coffee prices remain high. Front Street Coffee will continue to monitor developments in producing regions. [more…]

China's COVID-19 Restrictions Easing Drives Coffee Market Recovery, Starbucks Stock Price and Store Expansion Both Rise

As China's pandemic prevention and control policies are optimized and adjusted, the order of production and daily life is gradually being restored across the country, economic vitality is being unleashed anew, and foreign-funded enterprises are benefiting from it—the coffee chain giant Starbucks is a typical example. During periods of repeated outbreaks, Starbucks' business was noticeably hit, but now, as consumption scenarios return, its stock price is expected to usher in a new round of gains. Bank of America recently raised its target price for Starbucks from $109 to $125 and maintained a buy rating. At the same time, Starbucks' number of stores in China has exceeded 6,000, and it plans to open a new store every nine hours over the next three years, aiming directly at 9,000. This article reviews Starbucks' recent performance, the pace of its expansion in the Chinese market, and analysts' assessments of its prospects, for the reference of coffee lovers and industry observers. [more…]

Extreme weather deals a severe blow to Jamaica's Blue Mountain coffee industry, as officials plan to launch a five-year revitalization program with billions in funding.

Jamaican Blue Mountain coffee has long been regarded as a treasure of the coffee world, winning the favor of countless enthusiasts with its scarce production and outstanding flavor. However, Jamaica's main coffee-growing regions have recently suffered multiple blows including heavy rains and earthquakes, with frequent mudslides and landslides, causing the new season's coffee bean production to be expected to decline by about 25% compared with the same period last year. Facing this severe situation, the Jamaican government has announced that it will invest billions of dollars to launch a crop recovery and establishment plan, aiming to revive the production of Blue Mountain and High Mountain coffee varieties within five years, benefiting more than 5,000 coffee growers. This article will sort out the causes of this production reduction, its impact, and the specific contents of the official revival measures. [more…]

Fed cuts rates for the first time in four years, global coffee trade landscape may face new variables

On September 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point cut to the federal funds rate target range, bringing it to 4.75%-5.00%. This was the first rate cut since March 2020, marking a shift in U.S. monetary policy from tightening to easing. The move is expected to stimulate global economic recovery, lower financing costs, and have multiple effects on the coffee industry. Meanwhile, Brazil's central bank announced a rate hike of 0.25 percentage points the same day; combined with ongoing drought that has reduced coffee production, as well as a wave of stockpiling ahead of the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) taking effect at the end of the year, Brazil's coffee exports have performed strongly, though the price outlook remains uncertain. This article will examine how these factors work together to affect the global coffee market. [more…]

Starbucks' Q4 and full-year results for fiscal year 2022 are out: strong growth in North America, with a Chinese market recovery in sight.

Starbucks released its fourth-quarter and full-year earnings report for fiscal year 2022 on Thursday local time in the United States. The data showed that fourth-quarter revenue reached $8.4 billion, with global same-store sales rising 7%, exceeding market expectations; full-year net revenue grew 11% year-over-year to $32.3 billion. Same-store sales in the North American market increased 11%, while international markets declined 5%, and same-store sales in the Chinese market fell 16%, though there was already significant improvement quarter-over-quarter. Interim CEO Howard Schultz said the company's reinvention plan was beginning to show results, and he remained no less confident in the long-term prospects of the China business. In addition, Starbucks' loyalty program and the trend toward customized cold beverages became highlights of the performance. For more coffee news, please follow Coffee Workshop and Front Street Coffee. [more…]

Honduran Migration Wave Hits Coffee Industry: Labor Shortage Crisis During Harvest Season, Exports to China Emerge as New Opportunity

Honduras is currently experiencing a severe socio-economic crisis. Corruption, institutional collapse, the impact of the pandemic, and hurricane disasters have compounded, pushing poverty rates to extreme levels, causing widespread closures in the export processing industry and the loss of over 100,000 jobs, with many of the unemployed choosing to emigrate abroad. This wave of emigration directly affects the coffee growing industry—as the harvest season approaches, there is a severe shortage of skilled pickers, and the prospects for the harvest are worrisome. At the same time, Honduran organic coffee beans have been successfully exported to China, with 12 companies authorized to trade with China, bringing a glimmer of hope for economic recovery. This article will outline the root causes of the crisis, its impact on the industry, and the latest trade developments. [more…]

Starbucks' Road to Recovery Still Faces Uncertainties: Can Howard Schultz's Strategy Adjustments Break Through the Growth Ceiling?

Starbucks has experienced considerable turbulence this year. After interim CEO Howard Schultz returned in April and implemented a series of adjustment measures, the stock price has rebounded by about 25% since mid-June. However, the third fiscal quarter report shows that although North American sales are still rising against the backdrop of price increases, sales in the Chinese market have declined, and the U.S. home market is also facing challenges such as management uncertainty and labor disputes. Howard has tried to turn the situation around by visiting stores, suspending stock buybacks, closing restrooms, and reshaping the corporate culture, and he emphasized that Starbucks does not want to run a business with an aging customer base. Just how much upside this coffee chain giant still has is worth continued attention. [more…]

Colombia's annual coffee production climbs 21%, with export prospects and logistics challenges coexisting

The latest data from the National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia shows that the country's coffee industry is experiencing a significant recovery, with production increasing by 21% year-on-year over the past 12 months, reaching 12.41 million bags. This growth is attributed to improved weather, the renewal of disease-resistant varieties, and rising global coffee prices. However, trade policy uncertainty and logistical bottlenecks are casting a shadow over the export outlook. Tariff measures that may be implemented after the new U.S. president takes office, as well as issues such as port congestion and container shortages, could put pressure on Colombian coffee exports. Despite the rebound in production, it is still not enough to fill the gap left by Brazil's reduced output, and coffee prices are expected to remain high. Follow origin developments to learn the latest trends in the coffee market. [more…]

Escalation of Armed Conflict in Cauca, Colombia: 1,400 Soldiers Deployed, Coffee-Growing Region Hit by Wildfires Again

Colombia's peace process has encountered new setbacks. While the government and the "Caraca" faction extended their ceasefire agreement, another faction—the Western Bloc of the "Central General Staff"—continued to exchange fire with government forces in Cauca Department. President Petro authorized an all-out offensive, and the military deployed more than 1,400 soldiers along with heavy equipment to launch a raid. The conflict sparked wildfires in the mountains, and combined with persistent drought and high temperatures, major coffee-producing regions such as Huila Department and Cauca Department were severely affected, with large tracts of coffee crops destroyed. Coffee output in August fell by nearly 100,000 bags month-on-month. The National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia (FNC) said that after three consecutive years of declining production caused by La Niña, output is now struggling to recover, up 15% compared with last year. Regional peace and industry recovery remain core issues that the government urgently needs to address. [more…]

Rwanda's Coffee Industry: From Historical Trauma to the Rise of Specialty Washed Beans in a Landlocked African Nation

Although Rwanda is a landlocked country in Africa, its high altitude, volcanic soil and temperate highland climate have made it a coffee origin that cannot be overlooked on the specialty coffee map. This article traces the complete story of Rwandan coffee, from low-quality, high-volume production during the colonial period, through a difficult recovery after the genocide, to the establishment of a washing station system, the hosting of the Cup of Excellence, and its entry into international markets. It also introduces the flavor differences among its main producing regions such as the south and west, analyzes the reasons why Bourbon-family varieties are at the core and washed processing dominates, and includes information on the Giseke coffee beans sold by Front Street Coffee along with brewing suggestions, helping readers gain a comprehensive understanding of the coffee strength of this "Land of a Thousand Hills." [more…]

The Coffee Path of the Land of a Thousand Hills: Flavor Characteristics of Rwanda's Producing Regions and an Analysis of Gaseke Washed Beans

Although Rwanda is located inland in central Africa, it boasts superior growing conditions such as high altitude, volcanic soil, and a temperate highland climate, and is known as the "Land of a Thousand Hills." However, the 1994 genocide and the sharp drop in global coffee prices once dealt a severe blow to its coffee industry. Since then, coffee cultivation has become an important pillar of economic recovery. Rwandan coffee is mainly Bourbon variety, with more than 90% processed by the washed method, and its flavor is known for floral notes, citrus, berries, and honey sweetness. The Gaseke coffee beans launched by Front Street Coffee come from the Nyamasheke region on the shores of Lake Kivu in the west, using a medium-light roast to highlight bright acidity and a rich mouthfeel. This article will systematically review the historical context, producing regions, variety characteristics, and processing techniques of Rwandan coffee, and include detailed information about Gaseke coffee. [more…]

Schultz writes to Chinese partners: Bullish on China's market potential, firmly believes it will eventually become Starbucks' largest global market

Starbucks interim CEO Howard Schultz published an open letter to Chinese partners on the official website on the occasion of the New Year, reviewing the resilience and dedication shown by the Chinese team under the impact of the pandemic over the past few years, and expressing firm confidence in the prospects of the Chinese market. In the letter, he revealed that he communicates with the Chinese leadership team every week and keeps in touch with Belinda Wong every day, and pointed out that as China enters the post-pandemic stage, the release of consumer demand will drive business recovery. Although the road ahead is not linear, he believes China will eventually become Starbucks' largest market. The following is the full text of the speech and its translation. [more…]